Forex Market is Recovering Amid a Series of Big Changes
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The latest Triennial Central Bank Survey issued by the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) shows that compared with in 2016, forex spot trading has grown by 20% in the past 3 years, while swap trading has increased over a third and outright forwards increased 43%. The forex market has been recovering from the downdraft in 2016, thanks to the momentum offered by strong growth in swap and forward trading. Meanwhile, the forex market has seen several good news this week.
US expressed optimism about the trade talks
The latest Triennial Central Bank Survey issued by the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) shows that compared with in 2016, forex spot trading has grown by 20% in the past 3 years, while swap trading has increased over a third and outright forwards increased 43%. The forex market has been recovering from the downdraft in 2016, thanks to the momentum offered by strong growth in swap and forward trading. Meanwhile, the forex market has seen several good news this week.
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| BIS Triennial Bank Survey |
Sterling surges in the prospect of an orderly Brexit
This Thursday (October 10th), Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar announced after meeting with his British counterpart that the two countries may reach an agreement about Brexit by the end of the month. “I think it is possible for us to come to an agreement, to have a treaty to allow the UK to leave the EU in an orderly fashion, and to have that done by the end of October,”he said. The news drove GBP/USD up over 200 points, the largest daily increase since March.
This Thursday (October 10th), Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar announced after meeting with his British counterpart that the two countries may reach an agreement about Brexit by the end of the month. “I think it is possible for us to come to an agreement, to have a treaty to allow the UK to leave the EU in an orderly fashion, and to have that done by the end of October,”he said. The news drove GBP/USD up over 200 points, the largest daily increase since March.
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| GBP/USD daily market trend |
Sino-US trade war may cool down and US may delay raising tariffs
Representatives of China-US trade negotiation said the trade talks went well after meeting on Thursday. US business associations also expressed optimism about easing of the trade tension and a delay of the tariff raise scheduled for next week. Investors are betting that the two side may reach agreements in some aspects and ease the trade tension, leading to a subside of risk aversion.
Representatives of China-US trade negotiation said the trade talks went well after meeting on Thursday. US business associations also expressed optimism about easing of the trade tension and a delay of the tariff raise scheduled for next week. Investors are betting that the two side may reach agreements in some aspects and ease the trade tension, leading to a subside of risk aversion.
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| US expressed optimism about the trade talks |
Despite the good news, investors should still closely follow the global forex market and particularly be careful of “black swans”, in order to fend off the possible risks during investment. The macroeconomic policies of global central banks have significant impact on currency rates, so investors can predict forex market trends by analyzing these policies. In addition, investors should pay attention to key financial data and market sentiment indicators, as they also influence foreign exchange rates. In order to better serve investors, WikiFX is offering the latest forex market trends and analysis, and you can check these updates in the WikiFX App.
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